Recession Q4 2019

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Disclaimer:  For Education Only

Economic collapse news.  Recession 2019 Q4? What is the Fed talking about? The St Louis Fed recently published a warning about certain indicators the U.S. Housing Market is sending concerning an imminent recession.  I wanted to start by stating this is not a prediction by Silver Report Uncut (SRU) but a date that was consistently mentioned in a paper published by the Fed.  However it is very concerning that the Fed keeps bringing up the word recession when this is not characteristic of typical Fed behavior.

 

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Economic recession is a period of general economic decline and is typically accompanied by a drop in the stock market, an increase in unemployment, and a decline in the housing market.

Aside from two consecutive quarters of GDP decline, economists assess several metrics to determine whether a recession is imminent or already taking place. Leading indicators materialize before a recession is officially declared. Perhaps the most common leading indicator is contraction in the stock market. Declines in broad stock indices, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500 index, often appear several months before a recession takes shape.

A depression is a deep and long-lasting recession. While no specific criteria exist to declare a depression, unique features of the last U.S. depression — the Great Depression of the 1930s — included a GDP decline in excess of 10% and an unemployment rate that briefly touched 25%. Simply, a depression is a severe decline that lasts for many years. There have been 33 recessions in the United States since 1854, but there has been only The Great Depression which lasted from the year 1930 to 1941.  The Fed keeps bringing up the word recession suggests a second depression.

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